linkedin_signin   login  register
 
linkedin_signin linkedin_signin linkedin_signin    
Home > News & Content > More news

95 percent shared, autonomous and electric by 2030

Thirteen years from now, self-driving electric vehicles will make up the vast majority of cars on U.S. roads, according to independent think tank RethinkX. The Californian company recently published a report entitled “Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030: The Disruption of Transportation and the Collapse of the Internal-Combustion Vehicle and Oil Industries”.

This report forecasts that 95 percent of all U.S. passenger miles travelled will be served by on-demand autonomous electric vehicles owned by fleets, in a new business model called ‘Transport-as-a-service’ (TaaS). RethinkX predicts a massive disruption, threatening conventional players in the industry but also creating considerable opportunities.

Cars will be operated and owned by ride-hailing companies and be used at least ten times more than privately owned vehicles. Remarkably, the lifecycle of the vehicles would increase to 500,000 or even 1 million miles, while maintenance, energy, finance and insurance costs would decrease significantly.

As a result, transport-as-a-service would offer vastly lower-cost transport alternatives four to ten times cheaper per mile than buying a new car and two to four times cheaper than operating an existing vehicle in 2021. Ass with any technology disruption, adoption is expected to grow along an exponential S-curve.

Picture copyright: Volvo Cars, 2017 19/05/2017  |  Dieter Quartier

news
TAGS : RethinkX 
COMMENTS (0)

Registration required to post a comment Registration required to post a comment

More blogs



Interviews

In this section, you will read interviews with fleet management suppliers, leasing companies, OEMs and third party providers.

More Interviews

Analysis Analysis

img
Autorola is helping the fight against corruption in Brazil | 

Members Area Members Area

Privacy statement | General conditions of sale | © 2016 Nexus Communication SA